Let’s set aside for a moment the question of
whether government is inherently biased toward
property and focus instead on a purely mechanical
question: is taxation a good tool for preserving
gifts of nature? I pose this question because
economists have advocated “green taxes”
for over eighty years, and it’s time to move
beyond this hoary panacea.
The idea of using taxes to protect nature dates
back to 1920, when Cambridge University’s top
economist, Arthur Pigou, proposed
it. At first blush the idea makes sense. If pollution
is free, there’ll be lots of it. If it’s
taxed, there’ll be less. Taxation forces
polluters to internalize some of the costs
they’d otherwise externalize.
So far, so good. The devil, however, is in the
details. For example, who sets the taxes? What
algorithm do they use? How quickly can they act? To
whom are they accountable? And where does the money
go?
When the federal government sets taxes, the key
players are the House Ways and Means Committee and
the Senate Finance Committee. As any observer of
Congress will tell you, the process of writing tax
laws is ugly, contentious, and time-consuming. Bills
are introduced, hearings held, politics unleashed.
More than anything else, this is what keeps
Washington’s lobbyists on their cell
phones.
What algorithm drives committee members when they
write tax laws? Most often, it’s what’s
best for their reelection. They’re not
economists, they’re politicians. They want to
please donors and voters. Protecting nature, or
future generations, isn’t foremost in their
minds. Hence, pollution taxes will never be as high
as they need to be.
Consider a real example here —
carbon taxes. A tax on carbon
emissions could, in theory, reduce global warming.
But in order to make a difference, the tax would have
to get extremely high. This means Congress would have
to raise the prices of gasoline, natural gas, and
electricity year after year, hitting every business
and consumer in the pocketbook. That’s an
improbable scenario.
In most situations, mainstream economists would
shout, “Politicians shouldn’t set prices,
markets should!” Prices should announce to the
world, on any given day, what buyers are willing to
pay and sellers are willing to accept. To the extent
that government distorts or delays this process, it
leads to inefficient allocation of scarce resources,
not the least of which is Congress’s own
time.
So why did Pigou and his followers give the
price-setting job to politicians? Because, in their
minds, there was no alternative. Someone had
to set prices for pollution, and they thought no one
else could do it. But there are other
options.
Consider, for example, the Federal Reserve Board,
created in 1913 to manage the nation’s money
supply. The Fed is a hybrid entity. Technically,
it’s a corporation whose stock is owned by
member banks. However, the seven members of its board
of governors are appointed by the president and
confirmed by the Senate to staggered fourteen-year
terms. The genius of the Fed is that its governors
can make tough economic decisions without risking
defeat at the polls. In particular, they can raise
interest rates, which means higher borrowing costs
for businesses and higher mortgage and credit card
payments for millions of voters. No politician wants
to do this, and thanks to the Fed, none have to. When
constituents complain about high interest rates,
Congress members point to the Fed and say,
“Talk to them.” This model is so sensible
that, nowadays, almost all countries use it.
One can imagine similar entities for managing
carbon and other pollutants. Their governors would
serve long terms and have a fiduciary responsibility
to future generations. They could make tough economic
decisions — such as raising energy prices
— without committing political suicide. Such
entities might appeal to elected politicians
precisely because they permit a shifting of
responsibility and blame.
And that’s not the only alternative to
political price-setting. We know from
“cap-and-trade” programs that markets can
set prices for pollution. In such systems,
politicians have an important task — they set
up the system and assign the initial property rights
— but once they do that, they can be off the
hook on prices. ...
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