is this a serious question?

As usual, a quick search for the word “land” turns up a disappointing number, in this case, 0.

As Congress argues over the size of the infrastructure bill and how to pay for it, very little attention is being devoted to one of the most perplexing problems: Why does it cost so much more to build transportation networks in the US than in the rest of the world?

Flip the question around and ask why China and Japan and various countries in Europe have built out their transit networks and compare their land use/ownership policies to those in the US. Private land ownership as a vestige of feudalism is one of the issues this country needs to address, not through expropriation but through recapturing the value through a ground rent/land value tax.

I do not propose either to purchase or to confiscate private property in land. The first would be unjust; the second, needless. Let the individuals who now hold it still retain, if they want to, possession of what they are pleased to call their land. Let them continue to call it their land. Let them buy and sell, and bequeath and devise it. We may safely leave them the shell, if we take the kernel. It is not necessary to confiscate land; it is only necessary to confiscate rent.

a couple of quick ones

Land use decisions, reflected in zoning and tax/assessed values on land, drive inequality.

Rich Houston teems with greenery and public parks.
But unfair zoning laws mean its poorer communities of color bake in the hot sun

Every weekday at 6am, 68-year-old Ana Adelea-Lopez walks through her Houston neighborhood to the bus stop.On the way, she passes a series of apartment complexes, telephone poles and metal fences on a long stretch of sidewalk. For the entirety of her walk, there’s not a single tree in sight.

“You can’t even be on the street because of the heat,” said Adelea-Lopez who takes the bus to her seamstress job. “There aren’t a lot of trees. There are a lot of apartments. A lot of cement.”

And alongside housing policy, road and transportation policies that favor car owners are driving a new kind of segregation, where those who can afford to migrate to cheaper housing will take their unearned wealth to the suburbs, leaving behind neglected city cores to fall in value until they are redeveloped by those who reclaim them — gentrification is never far behind.

As the US has become more diverse, it has also become more racially segregated, a new study finds. Its lead author, Stephen Menendian, speaks about America’s failure to integrate

houses are no longer homes but assets, and every street is Wall Street

Invest in a rental home for $100/share

Imagine if you could invest $100 in a home of your own, at a reasonable multiple of your annual salary. Time was, you could buy a home for about 10,000 working hours, or 5 times your annual salary. Not really possible anymore but by all means, go off about the sanctity of single family assets homes.

At a $15 minimum wage, that’s $30,000 a year, so there should be $300,000 homes — either freestanding or some kind of terrace/rowhouse or even a flat or apartment. Turns out even Seattle has houses that are valued at $300,000 but the land under them — something no one needs to buy — is worth more than the house.

“Arrived is entirely focused on single-family homes, which we are very bullish on during the next 10 years,” Chouza said. “As new home construction has not and will likely not keep up with the growing demand, we believe there are strong appreciation trends over the next decade.”

New home construction hasn’t kept up because land values encourage holding and discourage development: if the cost to hold an appreciating asset is 1% of its value, why would you develop it and pay tax on the development? And what do you bet the VCs and other investors in housing as an asset will fight any move to force land into productive use through ground rent or land tax? And they can count on local homeowners to go along, even as there is no evidence that development lowers existing property values and plenty that it raises values of nearby properties.

“While single family homes sometimes can go through short-term cycles, the asset class has proven to be incredibly resilient and has shown consistent upward movement for the past 100 years,” Chouza added.

“The asset class”…these are homes for families, not assets, but this is where late stage capitalism has brought us, to a place where everything is for rent, not for sale, where the media — music, books, movies — are a service, where you hope that Uber/Lyft can get you where you need to go.

Turns out this was foretold…Imagine waking up one day to find that virtually every activity you engage in outside your immediate family has become a “paid-for” experience. It’s all part of a fundamental change taking place in the nature of business, contends Jeremy Rifkin. After several hundred years as the dominant organizing paradigm of civilization, the traditional market system is beginning to deconstruct. On the horizon looms the Age of Access, an era radically different from any we have known.

The Transactional Age, where you can’t do anything without an exchange, but where your own value is undercut by the same entities who own what you need.

The highest bidder, but not the highest bid

Councilwoman Mosqueda has argued for an end to the sale of city land

but I wonder if she knows how much this deal left on the table? It may been to the highest bidder but I don’t think it was the highest bid.

My reading of the RFP was that the eventual buyer offered a ground rent option that would have paid about $1 million per acre per year for the 3 acre parcel.

Maybe $3 million/year didn’t look like a good deal against $143 million but by those calculations, whoever negotiated that deal left more than $1 billion (with a b) on the table. True, it would have taken 99 years to collect it all but think of what kind of financial position that puts you in, to have a guaranteed revenue stream of more than $400 million per acre for one parcel. Imagine that across the full 500 acres set aside for downtown. That’s $4.25 million annualized, every acre, every year.

I’ve never been able to learn who negotiated this on behalf of the city but I wonder if they ever ran the offer through a future value analysis and if so, how they opted for the fee simple sale.

smells like techno-utopians

Someone suggested that this post is based on some of the writing here. Hard to tell: I suppose the idea of land rents is the connection but there’s nothing there that isn’t a crib from Thomas Paine’s Agrarian Justice, ca 1797. Call it the American Equity Fund or a sovereign wealth fund or a prosperity dividend, as you like.

Most of this piece is the usual techno-utopian twaddle that assumes we all want AI to make more and more decisions (I was reporting about AI — expert systems and neural nets — before the author of this piece was in school) and that we will all just accept the disruption, the loss of opportunity/security as jobs are abstracted away, so that a few people who have managed to fail upwards their short lives can continue to hold power. I suppose one may think this is Luddite or anti-technology crankiness but that just shows a profound misunderstanding of what the Luddites were angry about. All of this Taylorism-adjacent AI stuff is just a way to turn those with local knowledge and skills into cheap labor. James C Scott talks about this in Seeing Like a State, describing this kind of top-down deskilling as high modernism. Just like the capitalists claim about socialism, this really has failed everywhere it has been tried but that won’t stop those who have never learned from failure from trying it again. After all, it’s only other people’s lives they are taking, piece by piece.

There is a way to take someone’s life without killing them: you simply deprive them of the means to enjoy it, reducing them to a meat machine that lacks the means and eventually the desire for anything outside of their labor obligation. This seems to what most of these schemes boil down to, stripmining industries (as with Uber/Lyft and the taxis) or cities, as their inflated salaries distort local housing markets and force workers who don’t command 6 figure salaries to harvest data and put ads in more and more places to leave the cities they built.

Daniel Pink laid out the three components of internal motivation: Mastery, Autonomy, and Purpose. Mastery requires no explanation. Autonomy is simply the power to say “no” to work you don’t want, for whatever reason — it doesn’t pay enough, the working conditions are poor, whatever. And Purpose should also be self-explanatory: you feel like your work has some value beyond money. But these masters of the universe don’t know what any of that means. They are well-supplied with autonomy but what are they masters of and what purpose do they serve besides the accumulation of more wealth? Why can’t these lottery winners just take their winnings and go home?

No, I don’t think any of these insular thinkers have read any of my stuff. The few mentions of land in this piece don’t mention split-rate taxation on commercial land, which is really where the action is. Putting a 2.5% tax on all privately-owned property is a non-starter in a city with a 1% rate that people are howling at having to pay.

The roots of this are in the preference for private goods over public ones: it even extends to the techno-utopian chariot of choice, the self-driving Tesla. Imagine making a car no one wants to drive and thinking you’re an automaker.

As anyone who has worked on the internet might appreciate, the better solution here is to make the road network into a real network, where the vehicles are packets, guided by an intelligent network that can receive the desired destination from each vehicle and manage all of them, merging and exiting them, as the passengers require. Rather that waste time and effort designing cars that can read signs, why not built signaling into the signs and all other road infrastructure to guide the vehicles?

But that sounds like public investment, shared/common goods. They would never consider upgrading or innovating in the public space when they could simply create a private version they can control access to.

So this coterie of failsons and upward failing dreamers will continue to invest in systems and ideas that no one but themselves needs or wants. It may take the rest of this century before the effects of this poison are gone.

ORLY?

Here’s what I would recommend: If you still use “admin” as a username on your blog, change it

ORLY?
Screen Shot 2013-04-13 at 11.47.24 AM

I’m just lucky that way, I guess.

I changed it in the database as there was no way to change it in the UI. But if I’m not the only WordPress user with this problem, then what?

PS: 50 lockouts on wp-login since I installed that additional layer of security.

moar cleanup

I see a lot of garbage had crept in over the course of using different publishing platforms, editors, and other tools. I’m sure there’s a better way to do this (like a stored procedure in MySQL) but I managed to hack back a lot of the weeds with stuff like this:

mysql> UPDATE crank_posts SET post_content = REPLACE(post_content, '’','\'');

I probably spent more time trying to do this in SequelPro and wrestling with syntax, none of which was necessary: the line above works in the commandline environment. It seems to have worked once but I don’t think I saw the status message saying to: I didn’t realize it til I saw a nonsense test string staring back at me.

Just one more thing that should Just Work.