land ownership as a driver of climate change

What if the privatization of public land, the expansion of the cartel of land owners, has helped bring about climate change by putting more and more land into the market, land that has high resource cost to make livable (think: Miami and the rest of SoFla, Houston, the desert SW)? If land had remained in public hands and rented out under a leasehold model, we could have increased density and allowed those areas to remain untouched.

In a poetic twist, it seems that many of the areas least conducive to life without massive support are the ones feeling the most effects of climate change — flooding and daily tide overflows in Miami, droughts and reduced water flows in the desert SW. All of those areas have transformed the land through development and added automotive transport, increasing greenhouse gases and exacerbating the heat island effect.

Food for thought, but it does feel like the planet is trying shake us off like a dog tries to rid itself of fleas.

Seattle, then and now

Looked at this book today and was struck by the artist’s statement that Seattle was chosen as America’s most livable city. Maybe in 1983…

I wish the people who talk about the Seattle they remember, when there was no street crime or homelessness or anything but blue skies and gentle rains (with plenty of parking) remembered this:

In 1983 Mary Ellen Mark began photographing a group of fiercely independent homeless and troubled youth who were making their way on the streets of Seattle as pimps, prostitutes, panhandlers, and smalltime drug dealers. Initially published in July of that same year in Life magazine, this work culminated in the 1988 publication Streetwise, and the 1984 documentary film of the same name by Mark’s husband, filmmaker Martin Bell.

[…]

Tiny’s story also insists that we consider the roots and cycles of poverty, addiction, and homelessness—and their potentially destructive manifestations and effects: even the safest and most secure family life may suddenly feel terrifyingly vulnerable. An already unstable family situation may implode.

Maybe Seattle — the city that introduced Ray Charles to heroin — has always had some inequality but no one saw it until the gap between rich and poor became more visible. Poor is easy: start at zero. But rich…is rich a rambler with a garage or a high-rise apartment with a car elevator?

public vs private space

Throughout the world, some of the most delightful urban spaces are also some of the smallest. It’s a counterintuitive observation that we ought to give more thought to.This is true of both private and public space. Think of the most charming, appealing backyards you’ve ever spent time in. Gardens. Patios. Courtyards. Alleyways or pedestrian streets.

The idea of this piece is about “delight per acre,” about high value experiences in small space, human-scaled and relatable.

But the part that jumps out at me is the private spaces that are walled off as private yards vs public spaces that are often far apart and too small for the number of people who could use them.

How many 6,000 square foot yards could be cut down to a quarter of that size — or even less per household in a multi-story development — with the balance going to public plazas, squares, wider sidewalks? The elevation of single family homes and car storage over a wider variety of housing for a wider variety of people is catching up to Seattle and other cities. We have all the land we will ever have and have ever had but we seem to have more people all the time.

Whenever a population converges around a certain location, the land, of which there is only a limited supply for each location, becomes more expensive to live on; people have to increasingly pay to live on land, and this in turn affects the entire economy.

This affects local businesses two-fold, in the rents they have to pay for their space and in the wages they pay to their workers. And the rentier/landlord charges as much as she can, taking their unearned increment every month, styling themselves as investors, rather than predatory speculators.

it’s not housing that is unaffordable (sorry, Mother Jones) but land

But with apologies to the staff at Mother Jones, land and what is built on it are inextricable. We can’t imagine housing without land, even though many people rent their housing and own neither their shelter or the land under it.

There is now not a single state or county in the US where a minimum wage worker on a 40-hour week can afford a two-bedroom home at the fair market rent, according to a report published by the National Low Income Housing Coalition this week. In 93 percent of US counties, such full-time minimum wage workers can’t afford a one-bedroom apartment, either.

CEO Diane Yentel [said] in an emailed statement[,] “Without a significant federal intervention, housing will continue to be out of reach for millions of renters.”

To crunch these numbers, the NLIHC relied on a common metric for housing affordability: a home is affordable if it requires workers to pay up to 30 percent of their monthly income in rent. Using this metric, NLIHC’s report found that workers would need to earn a little less than $52,000 per year—or $24.90 per hour—to afford a modest two-bedroom home, or at least $20.40 per hour to afford a one bedroom. The federal minimum wage is $7.25 per hour.

I prefer a different metric, one that gets people out of the landlord’s game. How many years (at 2,000 hours/year) will you need to work to own a place of your own? At $24.90/hour, you would earn $49,800/year. To buy an $800,000 home (the current median price in Seattle), you would need to put every penny for 16 years to buy that. And people argue that $15/hr is too much. Ideally, it would be about 10,000 hours but where are the $300,000 homes in Seattle or other cities?

But we know that home prices are not the real metric: it’s land. In cities with huge lots (6,000 sq feet) and a slavish worship of single family homes on those big lots, you are setting a cap on the population that can buy in, turning the rest into renters or forcing them to live outside the city and commute in. Why you would want to pump local wages outside city limits to enrich neighboring communities is a question to ask your local city council. This is especially important when you consider than many of workers forced to live outside the city where they work are city or state workers: why could you take wages funded by local taxes and send them to be spent in other cities?

And the answer to the question above — “where are the $300,000 homes in Seattle or other cities?” — is that they are all over those cities. The tax records for King County — where Seattle is — make clear that where the assessments on housing have risen slowly over the years, the assessed value of land has sometimes exceeded the value of what is built on it. What makes housing unaffordable is the land under it. We have all the land we have ever had and will ever have but we can make far better use of it, to make a better life for everyone and generate more revenue for those cities.

Why I drive

The author of Why We Drive is a recreational driver, an enthusiast. I didn’t see any references to his own experience with Marchetti’s Constant. This would explain why I found I could summarize the main thrust of the book as a haiku, distilled from the very end of the book:

i was never an
athlete but watch me knee drag
this sunlit canyon

Matthew Crawford is younger than I am but makes a convincing showing as the youngest “old man yelling at clouds” I have seen in some time. His “Why We Drive” is an incoherent muddle that could have been so much better and even more useful 10 or 20 years ago.

The book purports to be a paean to the at-risk skills of driving, as if there is something so unique to a set of behaviors we have only been able to express over the past 100 years that we will be diminished as a species if they are lost. He never really defines what he means. He mentions spatial/situational awareness but does he really think we would have survived the savannah without that? Has he seen the restored videos of public streets before cars and as cars entered the picture? Chaos…people walking everywhere, horses, carriages, often a streetcar, and sometimes a car or motorbike…does he not think we possessed spatial awareness then? There is some value to feedback through the senses, as one feels in a car — or on a bike or even on foot, as a trail runner might find when going from an open grassland into a woodland path, switching from gravel to packed mud interspersed with roots. There is nothing unique to driving about any of this other than speed, and as the author himself admits, speed kills.

What he refers to as skills is actually experience. He enjoys the experience of going faster than he should in places where perhaps he shouldn’t. He likes twisty roads or open vistas through a car window, ever-changing and new. And while the experience might be enabled or enhanced by some skills, he doesn’t make a convincing case for driving as some innately valuable or universal experience.

He objects strongly to traffic cameras and speed limits, while citing a few examples of his own inability to adhere to them. More tellingly, he objects to his own behavior being policed, even as he tells of two separate incidents where he was compelled to remonstrate with distracted drivers and almost rear-ended another vehicle. Twice. I can’t tell if he is being honest with us or a raging hypocrite: being a left lane camper or other self-appointed traffic enforcer is one of the most dangerous behaviors on the road, something he fails to see, even as he writes about road rage elsewhere in the book.

For all the references to skill and the praise for those who possess them, the author seem to forget something so basic as training/licensing:

Today, Germany has one of the lowest rates of traffic fatalities in the world, despite (or because of?) the discretion granted its drivers. Germans had to learn how to drive fast, over the course of decades. This involved not just acquisition of a technical skill, but a kind of moral education that took place during the postwar peace.

I suspect the more intensive training and rigorous licensing has a lot more to do with the discretion afforded German drivers than any moral education. The cost alone — around $1,800 — would serve as a deterrent for many non-serious drivers here in the USA where one can take the license with no training at all. Driving in the UK and Europe is both more rigorously licensed and more expensive. His only other mention of driving anywhere but the USA is his discussion of the London cab driver’s exam — The Knowledge. The hope is to equate that to the skills he thinks we need to retain but learning a mental map of a unique and historically dense city has little in common with the open roads of the USA.

There are quite a few inconsistencies that jumped out at me. He spends a lot of time carping about technology he doesn’t like or understand but neglects to accept his own agency. He complains about having to install Microsoft Word with a several page harangue about his interactions with the tech support person he was assigned, who he assumes is either a robot or a slave. He never mentions why he has to have the product, other than “for writing.” To which I say bullshit. I am writing now and it’s not in Word. I am not a lauded philosopher/mechanic with several books in print but I do write and Word is never my choice of tool. Seems like knowledge and choice of tools is right up his alley, so it’s puzzling how he simply ignores a discussion or exegesis of his writing tools.

Perhaps he needs to submit his work in Word format? Easily finessed with a trip to the local library…bring the text, copy/paste/save. Are there features he needs? He doesn’t say. What happened to the version he used on previous books? Obsolete? Or simply out of date? Again, no details but this is all part of the old man yelling at clouds schtick, where you bring up relatable gripes and your peers will just nod along, like the tiresome Boomer/Millennial garbage. Again, I am older than he is but he talks like he is 20 years older.

His mention of planned obsolescence was later refined to “forced obsolescence” to refer to the various government programs to remove old cars from the highways. But that’s not really obsolescence to much as removal. Anyone spending the time and money the author has on a 1975 Super Beetle restoration needs to better define obsolescence. There is little about the Super Beetle (disclosure: I had a 1973 whose neck I wrung cheerfully on a regular and frequent basis) that makes it suitable for today’s roads, though I suspect skill will be proffered as the equalizer. I suggest physics will have the last word there.

He spends a lot of time talking about surveillance capitalism, as if we don’t know what that is or how it works. Lots of talk of a dystopian future where we are tracked and marketed to, with no awareness of how things can be turned off or ignored or how long this has been going without automakers getting into the mix. We don’t yet have the sort of fully-automated car/personal assistant he excerpts from a TC Boyle story so it’s hard to argue against something we may never see.

Institutional power that fails to secure its own legitimacy becomes untenable. If that legitimacy cannot be grounded in our shared rationality, based on reasons that can be articulated, interrogated, and defended, it will surely be claimed on some other basis. What this will be is already coming into view, and it bears a striking resemblance to priestly divination: the inscrutable arcana of data science, by which a new clerisy peers into a hidden layer of reality that is revealed only by a self-taught AI program—the logic of which is beyond human knowing.

What a philosopher could point out here is that algorithms are codified biases, the opinions and beliefs of their creator turned into rulesets and decision trees. Algorithms are no more inherently evil than the speed cameras he hates: any tool can be misused, as any mechanic would understand. Surely using speed cameras is safer than high-speed pursuits, even if it denies the driver the chance to debate with the highway patrol.

Then he finds the setting on his iPhone that turns on “do not disturb” when it detects movement it associates with driving to be intrusive and yet gleefully subverted by pressing the “I’m not driving” button. It never seems to dawn on him that the iPhone might be in the hand of a passenger in a car or bus or train and that’s why there is the option to turn that off. That seems like a very sensible and user-focused algorithm…switch to “do not disturb” when motion is detected but give the user the power to turn it off, in case they are not actually driving.

And that’s part of the problem. There isn’t a lot of “we” or even “you” in the book: it’s all about him. In his world, there would be no distracted drivers, distractions, or even any other drivers at all, just a man carving canyons at 45 in a 25 or getting his sideways drift on.

This would have been a better book and more in line with the argument he claims to be making if he acknowledged that driving is rarely a recreational activity for most people: it’s a necessary evil and often more evil than necessary. So to get the world he wants, he needs fewer drivers, something I wrote about in 2009.

He needs more people riding buses, bikes, and trains. And he needs more electric cars so he will still have access to gasoline in the years of motoring he expects to enjoy. But he doesn’t seem to understand that driving as recreation is a very niche interest. He is making the same mistake that city and state transportation departments have been making for decades, putting the needs of cars ahead of those of people. Again, an opportunity to talk about tools and solutions…what are the choices for how to get to work or shopping and why do some places manage to offer different choices? Wouldn’t he rather drive on a grade-separated roadway where bikes and pedestrians were physically screened off from cars? Wouldn’t he rather his daughters had that choice?

How much public land in our cities has been carved out for the use of cars vs people? Quite a lot…the amount of land devoted roadways and parking in the U.S. can cover the entire state of West Virginia—that’s about 24,000 square miles or 62,000 square kilometers. He forgets or ignores that we don’t drive all the time, even as he inventories how many cars — running or otherwise — he owns. Car storage, generally subsidized by tax payers as street parking or as downtown lots that could be used for any number of better purposes (housing, in our increasingly expensive cities comes to mind), is completely ignored in his adulation for the not-so-open road.

Many cities no longer have room for cars. Many no longer have room for single family homes, which would put a crimp in the style of anyone who keeps a few non-running cars as parts donors. It’s hard to make sense of this book in the early part of a century that will see so much needed change. A better book would have steered a path through those changes with a plan to preserve the experience — not the skills — Crawford places so much value in. But he chose instead to fulminate against some as-yet-unbuilt nanny state, even as he demonstrates the need for it.

if the cost of food tracked the cost of housing

Would you pay £63 for a chicken? The artist who built a street to show house price madness

Beginning with the very origins of money, [the show] moves from financial deregulation to the bonfire of mortgage-backed securities, to the gushing petrol pump of quantitative easing, and relentless house price inflation – noting that it would now cost £63 to buy a chicken if groceries had increased at the same rate as homes. With Fishbone’s smooth American accent providing a slow, measured monologue, calmly explaining the intricacies of the global banking system over the top of his Powerpoint slides, it’s as if The Big Short has been remade as a soothing meditation video.

[…]

The film is certainly an entertaining 15 minutes. It charts how “money became postmodern” after Nixon removed the US dollar from the gold standard in 1971, giving central banks a free licence to print cash. “Money has always been a fictional thing,” Fishbone says, and all systems of valuation are “just social contracts based on mutual agreement and backed by some kind of institutional violence”.

The fiction doesn’t matter if we agree with it but that’s not his argument. The problem with the “mutual agreement” he mentions is that’s not universal…the property owners agree on how to value what they have but not with an eye to telling the have nots who make their property worth owning.

the work is there and so are the workers but where is the housing?

KETCHUM, Idaho—Ethan McKee-Bakos has had no trouble finding work since he moved to this upscale mountain town last February, earning $60,000 a year from two jobs. But Mr. McKee-Bakos spent nearly six weeks living out of his SUV in the nearby Sawtooth National Forest, unable to afford rent for a condo.

$60,000 a year…that equates to $30/hour, double the $15 wage target people are fighting for. And it’s not enough.

“If you live in Ketchum, there’s no shortage of work. There’s just a shortage of where you can live,” said Mr. McKee-Bakos, who works as a supply manager at a local hospital and a bouncer at a bar. “This is the first time I’ve experienced any type of homelessness.”

Like many towns in the West with economies built around tourism, Ketchum is facing a cascading housing crisis caused by a rush of new residents during the Covid-19 pandemic, growing demand for workers during the economic boom that has followed, and a shortage of affordable homes that was years in the making.

Just another town where the land values are so high — the revenue rentiers can extract from them so lucrative — that working people, the ones who make the town go, are left out in the tiresome game of musical chairs that is the private property market. A desirable location and the recreational benefits that go with it, some historical ties (Hemingway is associated with the town) — none of which was created by the people who hold the land — and all the value gets siphoned out by rentiers and landlords.

there is no such thing as planned obsolescence

There is no such thing as planned obsolescence. What is a thing is pricing products to the market, making things that are “good enough” but that the buyer doesn’t expect to last forever. If you need a pair of scissors to open an occasional parcel or cut something, you can get by with a cheap pair. If you are someone who makes a living or has a hobby that requires them as a tool, you will reach for the better ones. But both exist just as both needs do.

Same with car brands or bicycles or cameras, what have you. If you buy a Chevrolet, you have no right to expect whatever a Cadillac offers. Think of something you use every day, and ask yourself if it’s the very best you can buy. Is it something you could only buy once and never need to replace? If so, good for you. If not, why not? Assuming price is the reason, why are some cars or bicycles or cameras more expensive? Simply put, you don’t get as much at the lower price points. Lower quality materials, fewer features, lesser quality (more lax inspections/fewer rejects), that sort of thing.

Does anyone really believe that manufacturers design products to fail? Or do they simply not build in as much durability as a way of meeting a price target? Durable goods like the examples above and more besides don’t come with a time limit: in many cases they can outlive the original buyer, with care. One doesn’t have to look hard to find 20 or 30 year old or older cars still on the road. But their owners have made that happen, where today’s owners are not concerned about maintenance. Accordingly — to meet the market — carmakers will offer long service intervals, since they know people won’t bring their car in for even an oil change that can take just a few minutes. So how do they stretch the service interval? Instead of a 4-5 quart oil capacity, they might design in a 10 quart sump, and allow the larger quantity of oil to carry the burden. Think about that, as we ponder how we can slow climate change.

And many families have washing machines or other appliances that many others would have replaced. Too often what is called obsolescence is simply hunger for the new shiny version…a washing machine that can sense how dirty the clothes are or a car with more features, a phone or computer that runs as fast as the old one when it was new. None of that says obsolescence to me: it all sounds like consumer choice in the marketplace.

Do companies make new products, hoping you’ll buy them? Of course. Do they sometimes find it uneconomical to support old shavers or home entertainment equipment? Of course. But that’s not planned obsolescence: that’s just progress, of a sort. We don’t always get better stuff, to be sure, but it’s up to us to make the choice to move with the times or analyze our needs and make sure we get what we want.

Most of the things people say are now obsolete are not at all: unless they have consumable parts, they probably work as well as they ever did, even if everything else has changed around them. 20 years ago, no one imagined vinyl records would re-emerge as an audio format, but here we are. They survived cassettes and CDs and are thriving in the media-less streaming era. Yet how many people said their old turntables and receivers and speakers were obsolete?

So no, there is no such thing as planned obsolescence. No one has yet found a switch or timer than renders a product inoperable no matter how well maintained or serviced it was. Why you will find is consumers who get bored with what they have or envious of what their neighbors have. This is one instance where consumers do own the responsibility for their choices. We can’t stop climate change through individual action but we can make better purchasing decisions that might make a difference.

Want people to come back to the office? Make transit free

If businesses are so determined to get people to commute back into their offices, maybe they should find away to make it less painful.

I have never seen any news coverage that compares the cost of fare enforcement on the local bus/rail networks with the revenue captured through fares. And we know that farebox recovery only covers a fraction of the cost of each ride. So why not eliminate the fare and the cost to enforce payment? How much does the fare collection network cost, in expensive terminals, fare enforcement officers, and the associated back office expenses, expanding and upgrading a system we might not even need?

What if the land along those busy corridors was taxed on its productive value with that revenue dedicated to the costs of transporting workers and consumers along those rights of way?

what if everyone could take their job and wages to wherever they could get the life they want?

Dan Price — locally grown, internationally known — has some thoughts on the relationship between work and where one does it.

But the key takeaway for me was this, about the possibility of earning Seattle wages outside Seattle, of being able to take your job to where you had more buying power.

“But wait, isn’t that what suburbs are for? And you hate suburbs…”

If you don’t have to commute back into the city, it’s not a suburb. If you work for Microsoft but are based in London, does that make London a suburb of Redmond? I think not. So if people are able to work from Renton or Bremerton and make the same wages, why not do that? And if Seattle wants to keep those people, it will have to do something to make that happen…lowering housing costs, improving commutes, etc. But I think a survey would find that a lot of people live in Seattle because that’s where the jobs are. Service jobs, any kind of in-person/presence-based work – healthcare, education, grooming/personal care, food service — are also tied to location.

I wish even one member of city council understood this, that there is not affordable housing without affordable land and that the cost of land or high value extracted by speculators is making Seattle a rich people’s playground, not a city for everyone.